> You risk $X money and time for a payoff of $Y that comes Z% Unlike in poker wh... | Hacker News

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		teiferer 25 days ago \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Raising money fucked me up > You risk $X money and time for a payoff of $Y that comes Z% Unlike in poker where you know those 3 numbers if you are paying attention, in real life you know only X, and sometimes not even that. The rest is a guessing game, and that estimation is the hard part.

foltik 25 days ago [–]

In poker you learn to strategically size $X based on your estimates of $Y, Z%, and current bankroll.

Even if your estimates have large error bars, it can still be a good bet if you believe it’s +EV and have a large enough bankroll.

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